Difference between revisions of "2018 AMC 12A Problems/Problem 24"
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There are two cases of winning: | There are two cases of winning: | ||
− | Case 1: Alice | + | Case 1: Alice chooses a number that is smaller than Carol's, and Bob chooses a number that is bigger. |
− | Case 2: Alice | + | Case 2: Alice chooses a number that is bigger than Carol's, and Bob chooses a number that is smaller. |
− | Let Carol's number be <math>\frac{1}{2}+x</math> | + | Let Carol's number be <math>\frac{1}{2}+x</math>. The probability of Case 1 can be expressed as <math>\frac{\frac{1}{2} + x}{1}\cdot\frac{\frac{1}{6} - x}{\frac{1}{6}}=\left(\frac{1}{2} + x\right)\left(1 - 6x\right)</math>, and the probability of Case 2 can be expressed as <math>\frac{\frac{1}{2} - x}{1}\cdot\frac{x}{\frac{1}{6}}=\left(\frac{1}{2} - x\right)\left(6x\right)</math>. |
− | + | Thus, the probability of Carol winning can be expressed as the sum of the probabilities of Cases 1 and 2: <math>P = \left(\frac{1}{2} + x\right)\left(1 - 6x\right) + \left(\frac{1}{2} - x\right)\left(6x\right)</math>, which simplifies to <math>P = \frac{1}{2} + x - 12x^2</math>. The maximum value of <math>P</math> is obtained through the value of <math>x</math> where the slope is <math>0</math>. We take the first derivative and get <math>1 - 24x</math>, which yields <math>0</math> at <math>x = \frac{1}{24}</math>. Hence, Carol should select <math>\frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{24} = \boxed{\textbf{(B) }\frac{13}{24}}</math>. | |
+ | |||
+ | Note that the same value of <math>x</math> can be obtained through the Vertex Formula, <math>x=-\frac{b}{2a}</math>, without using Calculus. | ||
== Video Solution by Richard Rusczyk == | == Video Solution by Richard Rusczyk == |
Revision as of 22:14, 6 August 2024
Contents
Problem
Alice, Bob, and Carol play a game in which each of them chooses a real number between and The winner of the game is the one whose number is between the numbers chosen by the other two players. Alice announces that she will choose her number uniformly at random from all the numbers between and and Bob announces that he will choose his number uniformly at random from all the numbers between and Armed with this information, what number should Carol choose to maximize her chance of winning?
Solution 1 (Expected Values)
The expected value of Alice's number is and the expected value of Bob's number is To maximize her chance of winning, Carol should choose the midpoint between these two expected values. So, the answer is
Alternatively, once we recognize that the answer lies in the interval we should choose since no other answer choices lie in this interval.
~Random_Guy ~MRENTHUSIASM
Solution 2 (Piecewise Function)
Let and be the numbers that Alice, Bob, and Carol choose, respectively.
Based on the value of we construct the following table: Let be Carol's probability of winning when she chooses We write as a piecewise function: Note that is continuous in the interval increasing in the interval increasing and then decreasing in the interval and decreasing in the interval The graph of is shown below. Therefore, the maximum point of occurs in the interval namely at
~MRENTHUSIASM
Solution 3 (Answer Choices)
Let and be the numbers that Alice, Bob, and Carol choose, respectively.
From the answer choices, we construct the following table: Therefore, Carol should choose to maximize her chance of winning.
~MRENTHUSIASM
Solution 4 (Calculus)
There are two cases of winning:
Case 1: Alice chooses a number that is smaller than Carol's, and Bob chooses a number that is bigger.
Case 2: Alice chooses a number that is bigger than Carol's, and Bob chooses a number that is smaller.
Let Carol's number be . The probability of Case 1 can be expressed as , and the probability of Case 2 can be expressed as .
Thus, the probability of Carol winning can be expressed as the sum of the probabilities of Cases 1 and 2: , which simplifies to . The maximum value of is obtained through the value of where the slope is . We take the first derivative and get , which yields at . Hence, Carol should select .
Note that the same value of can be obtained through the Vertex Formula, , without using Calculus.
Video Solution by Richard Rusczyk
https://artofproblemsolving.com/videos/amc/2018amc12a/474
~ dolphin7
Video Solution (Meta-Solving Technique)
https://youtu.be/GmUWIXXf_uk?t=926
~ pi_is_3.14
See Also
2018 AMC 12A (Problems • Answer Key • Resources) | |
Preceded by Problem 23 |
Followed by Problem 25 |
1 • 2 • 3 • 4 • 5 • 6 • 7 • 8 • 9 • 10 • 11 • 12 • 13 • 14 • 15 • 16 • 17 • 18 • 19 • 20 • 21 • 22 • 23 • 24 • 25 | |
All AMC 12 Problems and Solutions |
The problems on this page are copyrighted by the Mathematical Association of America's American Mathematics Competitions.