Difference between revisions of "2018 AMC 10B Problems/Problem 6"

m (Solution 1)
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== Solution 2 ==
 
== Solution 2 ==
  
We only have to analyze first two draws as that gives us insight on if third draw is necessary. Also, note that it is necessary to draw a <math>1</math> in order to have 3 draws, otherwise <math>5</math> will be attainable in two or less draws. So the probability of getting a <math>1</math> is <math>\frac{1}{5}</math>. It is necessary to pull either a <math>2</math> or <math>3</math> on the next draw and the probability of that is <math>\frac{1}{2}</math>. But, the order of the draws can be switched so we get:
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We only have to analyze the first two draws as that gives us insight into if a third draw is necessary. Also, note that it is necessary to draw a <math>1</math> to have 3 draws, otherwise <math>5</math> will be attainable in two or fewer draws. So the probability of getting a <math>1</math> is <math>\frac{1}{5}</math>. It is necessary to pull either a <math>2</math> or <math>3</math> on the next draw and the probability of that is <math>\frac{1}{2}</math>. But, the order of the draws can be switched so we get:
  
 
<math>\frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot 2 = \frac{1}{5}</math>, or <math>\boxed {D}</math>
 
<math>\frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot 2 = \frac{1}{5}</math>, or <math>\boxed {D}</math>
  
By: Soccer_JAMS
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~Soccer_JAMS ~MC_ADe
 +
 
 +
== Solution 3 (Inequalities) ==
 +
We know that the first <math>2</math> draws must be <math>\le{3}</math> leaving us with with the only option being that <math>1</math> and <math>2</math> are chosen in either order. This means there is a <math>2 \cdot \frac{1}\binom(5,2) = \frac{1}{5}</math> or <math>\boxed {D}</math>
  
 
==Video Solution (HOW TO THINK CRITICALLY!!!)==
 
==Video Solution (HOW TO THINK CRITICALLY!!!)==

Revision as of 23:09, 10 November 2023

Problem

A box contains $5$ chips, numbered $1$, $2$, $3$, $4$, and $5$. Chips are drawn randomly one at a time without replacement until the sum of the values drawn exceeds $4$. What is the probability that $3$ draws are required?

$\textbf{(A)} \frac{1}{15} \qquad \textbf{(B)} \frac{1}{10} \qquad \textbf{(C)} \frac{1}{6} \qquad \textbf{(D)} \frac{1}{5} \qquad \textbf{(E)} \frac{1}{4}$

Solution 1

Notice that the only four ways such that $3$ draws are required are $1,2$; $1,3$; $2,1$; and $3,1$. Notice that each of those cases has a $\frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{4}$ chance, so the answer is $\frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{4} \cdot 4 = \frac{1}{5}$, or $\boxed{D}$.

Jonathan Xu (pi_is_delicious_69420)

Solution 2

We only have to analyze the first two draws as that gives us insight into if a third draw is necessary. Also, note that it is necessary to draw a $1$ to have 3 draws, otherwise $5$ will be attainable in two or fewer draws. So the probability of getting a $1$ is $\frac{1}{5}$. It is necessary to pull either a $2$ or $3$ on the next draw and the probability of that is $\frac{1}{2}$. But, the order of the draws can be switched so we get:

$\frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot 2 = \frac{1}{5}$, or $\boxed {D}$

~Soccer_JAMS ~MC_ADe

Solution 3 (Inequalities)

We know that the first $2$ draws must be $\le{3}$ leaving us with with the only option being that $1$ and $2$ are chosen in either order. This means there is a $2 \cdot \frac{1}\binom(5,2) = \frac{1}{5}$ (Error compiling LaTeX. Unknown error_msg) or $\boxed {D}$

Video Solution (HOW TO THINK CRITICALLY!!!)

https://youtu.be/gtsDrM16J9U

~Education, the Study of Everything

Video Solution

https://youtu.be/ctQ3VbKAFBg

~savannahsolver

Video Solution

https://youtu.be/wopflrvUN2c?t=20

See Also

2018 AMC 10B (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 5
Followed by
Problem 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
All AMC 10 Problems and Solutions

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