Difference between revisions of "1992 AHSME Problems/Problem 29"

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== Problem ==
 
== Problem ==
  
An "unfair" coin has a <math>2/3</math> probability of turning up heads. If this coin is tossed <math>50</math> times, what is the probability that the total number of heads is even?
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An unfair coin has a <math>2/3</math> probability of turning up heads. If this coin is tossed <math>50</math> times, what is the probability that the total number of heads is even?
  
<math>\text{(A) } 25(\frac{2}{3})^{50}\quad
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<math>\text{(A) } 25\bigg(\frac{2}{3}\bigg)^{50}\quad
\text{(B) } \frac{1}{2}(1-\frac{1}{3^{50}})\quad
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\text{(B) } \frac{1}{2}\bigg(1-\frac{1}{3^{50}}\bigg)\quad
 
\text{(C) } \frac{1}{2}\quad
 
\text{(C) } \frac{1}{2}\quad
\text{(D) } \frac{1}{2}(1+\frac{1}{3^{50}})\quad
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\text{(D) } \frac{1}{2}\bigg(1+\frac{1}{3^{50}}\bigg)\quad
 
\text{(E) } \frac{2}{3}</math>
 
\text{(E) } \frac{2}{3}</math>
  

Revision as of 14:43, 6 July 2019

Problem

An unfair coin has a $2/3$ probability of turning up heads. If this coin is tossed $50$ times, what is the probability that the total number of heads is even?

$\text{(A) } 25\bigg(\frac{2}{3}\bigg)^{50}\quad \text{(B) } \frac{1}{2}\bigg(1-\frac{1}{3^{50}}\bigg)\quad \text{(C) } \frac{1}{2}\quad \text{(D) } \frac{1}{2}\bigg(1+\frac{1}{3^{50}}\bigg)\quad \text{(E) } \frac{2}{3}$

Solution

Doing casework on the number of heads (0 heads, 2 heads, 4 heads...), we get the equation \[P=\left(\frac{1}{3} \right)^{50}+\binom{50}{2}\left(\frac{2}{3} \right)^{2}\left(\frac{1}{3} \right)^{48}+\dots+\left(\frac{2}{3} \right)^{50}\] This is essentially the expansion of $\left(\frac{2}{3}+\frac{1}{3} \right)^{50}$ but without the odd power terms. To get rid of the odd power terms in $\left(\frac{2}{3}+\frac{1}{3} \right)^{50}$, we add $\left(\frac{2}{3}-\frac{1}{3} \right)^{50}$ and then divide by $2$ because the even power terms that were not canceled were expressed twice. Thus, we have \[P=\frac{1}{2}\cdot\left(\left(\frac{1}{3}+\frac{2}{3} \right)^{50}+\left(\frac{2}{3}-\frac{1}{3} \right)^{50} \right)\] Or \[\frac{1}{2}\left(1+\left(\frac{1}{3} \right)^{50} \right)\] which is equivalent to answer choice $\fbox{D}$.

See also

1992 AHSME (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 28
Followed by
Problem 30
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