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− | ==Problem==
| + | #redirect[[2023 AMC 12B Problems/Problem 19]] |
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− | Each of 2023 balls is randomly placed into one of 3 bins. Which of the following is closest to the probability that each of the bins will contain an odd number of balls?
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− | == Solution 1 ==
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− | We first examine the possible arrangements for parity of number of balls in each box for <math>2022</math> balls.
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− | If a <math>0</math> denotes an even number and a <math>1</math> denotes an odd number, then the distribution of balls for <math>2022</math> balls could be <math>000,011,101,</math> or <math>110</math>. With the insanely overpowered magic of cheese, we assume that each case is about equally likely.
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− | From <math>000</math>, it is not possible to get to all odd by adding one ball; we could either get <math>100,010,</math> or <math>001</math>. For the other <math>3</math> cases, though, if we add a ball to the exact right place, then it'll work.
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− | For each of the working cases, we have <math>1</math> possible slot the ball can go into (for <math>101</math>, for example, the new ball must go in the center slot to make <math>111</math>) out of the <math>3</math> slots, so there's a <math>\dfrac13</math> chance. We have a <math>\dfrac34</math> chance of getting one of these working cases, so our answer is <math>\dfrac34\cdot\dfrac13=\boxed{\textbf{(E) }\dfrac14.}</math>
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− | ~Technodoggo
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− | == Solution 2 ==
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− | We will start with all the balls outside of the boxes, and distribute them as follows:
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− | We put <math>x</math> balls into the first box. There is (obviously) a roughly <math>\frac{1}{2}</math> probability <math>x</math> is odd (It's okay to not use the exact probability since the problem asks for the closest answer choice, and the answer choices aren't very close to each other).
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− | We put <math>y</math> balls into the second box. There is also a roughly <math>\frac{1}{2}</math> probability <math>y</math> is odd.
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− | If both <math>x</math> and <math>y</math> are odd, then the number of balls which go into the third box must also be odd, since 2023 is odd.
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− | Additionally, <math>x</math> and <math>y</math> clearly must both be odd in order for the problem conditions to be satisfied.
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− | Therefore our answer is the probability both <math>x</math> and <math>y</math> are odd, which is approximately <math>\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{1}{2}=\boxed{\textbf{(E) }\dfrac14.}</math>
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− | ~kjljixx
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