Difference between revisions of "2014 AMC 10B Problems/Problem 16"

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==Solution==
 
==Solution==
  
We split this problem into 2 cases.
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We split this problem into <math>2</math> cases.
  
 
First, we calculate the probability that all four are the same. After the first dice, all the number must be equal to that roll, giving a probability of <math>1 \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} = \dfrac{1}{216}</math>.
 
First, we calculate the probability that all four are the same. After the first dice, all the number must be equal to that roll, giving a probability of <math>1 \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} = \dfrac{1}{216}</math>.
  
Second, we calculate the probability that three are the same and one is different. After the first dice, the next two must be equal and the third different. There are 4 orders to roll the different dice, giving <math>4 \cdot 1 \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{5}{54}</math>.
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Second, we calculate the probability that three are the same and one is different. After the first dice, the next two must be equal and the third different. There are <math>4</math> orders to roll the different dice, giving <math>4 \cdot 1 \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{5}{54}</math>.
  
 
Adding these up, we get <math>\dfrac{7}{72}</math>, or <math>\boxed{\textbf{(B)}}</math>.
 
Adding these up, we get <math>\dfrac{7}{72}</math>, or <math>\boxed{\textbf{(B)}}</math>.
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Note that there are two cases for this problem
 
Note that there are two cases for this problem
  
Case 1: Exactly three of the dices show the same value.
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<math>\textbf{Case 1}</math>: Exactly three of the dices show the same value.
  
 
There are <math>5</math> values that the remaining die can take on, and there are <math>\binom{4}{3}=4</math> ways to choose the die. There are <math>6</math> ways that this can happen. Hence, <math>6\cdot 4\cdot5=120</math> ways.
 
There are <math>5</math> values that the remaining die can take on, and there are <math>\binom{4}{3}=4</math> ways to choose the die. There are <math>6</math> ways that this can happen. Hence, <math>6\cdot 4\cdot5=120</math> ways.
  
Case 2: Exactly four of the dices show the same value.
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<math>\textbf{Case 2}</math>: Exactly four of the dices show the same value.
  
 
This can happen in <math>6</math> ways.
 
This can happen in <math>6</math> ways.

Revision as of 18:52, 27 December 2019

Problem

Four fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that at least three of the four dice show the same value?

$\textbf {(A) } \frac{1}{36} \qquad \textbf {(B) } \frac{7}{72} \qquad \textbf {(C) } \frac{1}{9} \qquad \textbf {(D) } \frac{5}{36} \qquad \textbf {(E) } \frac{1}{6}$

Solution

We split this problem into $2$ cases.

First, we calculate the probability that all four are the same. After the first dice, all the number must be equal to that roll, giving a probability of $1 \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} = \dfrac{1}{216}$.

Second, we calculate the probability that three are the same and one is different. After the first dice, the next two must be equal and the third different. There are $4$ orders to roll the different dice, giving $4 \cdot 1 \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{1}{6} \cdot \dfrac{5}{6} = \dfrac{5}{54}$.

Adding these up, we get $\dfrac{7}{72}$, or $\boxed{\textbf{(B)}}$.

Solution 2

Note that there are two cases for this problem

$\textbf{Case 1}$: Exactly three of the dices show the same value.

There are $5$ values that the remaining die can take on, and there are $\binom{4}{3}=4$ ways to choose the die. There are $6$ ways that this can happen. Hence, $6\cdot 4\cdot5=120$ ways.

$\textbf{Case 2}$: Exactly four of the dices show the same value.

This can happen in $6$ ways.

Hence, the probability is $\frac{120+6}{6^{4}}=\frac{21}{216}\implies \frac{7}{72}\implies \boxed{\textbf{(B)}}$

See Also

2014 AMC 10B (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 15
Followed by
Problem 17
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
All AMC 10 Problems and Solutions

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